Authors: Molly Monsour; Emily Clarke-Rubright; Wil Lieberman-Cribbin; Christopher Timmins; Emanuela Taioli; Rebecca M. Schwartz; Samantha S. Corley; Anna M. Laucis; Rajendra A. Morey · Research

How Does Climate Change Impact Mental Health in Coastal Communities?

Climate change increases flooding and storm risks, potentially leading to more mental health issues in vulnerable coastal areas.

Source: Monsour, M., Clarke-Rubright, E., Lieberman-Cribbin, W., Timmins, C., Taioli, E., Schwartz, R. M., Corley, S. S., Laucis, A. M., & Morey, R. A. (2021). The Impact of Climate Change on the Prevalence of Mental Illness Symptoms. medRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.08.06.21261722

What you need to know

  • Climate change is increasing the risk of flooding and severe storms in coastal areas, which can negatively impact mental health
  • Higher exposure to tropical cyclones was linked to increased risk of PTSD, anxiety, and depression symptoms
  • In a severe flooding scenario, over 1.6 million people in Miami-Dade and Broward counties could experience anxiety symptoms

The growing mental health threat of climate change

Climate change is causing sea levels to rise and increasing the intensity of tropical storms. While the physical dangers of flooding and storm damage are obvious, less attention has been paid to how these climate-related disasters impact mental health. This study aimed to predict how climate change could affect rates of mental illness symptoms in vulnerable coastal communities, focusing on southeast Florida as a high-risk area.

The researchers analyzed data from survivors of three major hurricanes - Hurricane Ike in 2008, Hurricane Sandy in 2012, and the Florida hurricanes of 2004. They looked at how exposure to these storms related to symptoms of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), anxiety, and depression in the aftermath. They then used this information to model how future flooding and storms could impact mental health in Miami-Dade and Broward counties.

Hurricanes linked to increased mental health symptoms

Across all three hurricane datasets, greater exposure to the storms was consistently associated with higher risk of mental illness symptoms:

  • For Hurricane Sandy survivors, higher storm exposure was linked to increased risk of depression (p < 0.001), anxiety (p < 0.001), and PTSD symptoms (p < 0.001)
  • Hurricane Ike data showed storm exposure was associated with higher risk of PTSD (p < 0.001), anxiety (p = 0.014), and depression symptoms (p = 0.018)
  • The 2004 Florida hurricanes were linked to elevated risk of anxiety (p < 0.001), depression (p < 0.001), and PTSD symptoms (p = 0.002)

When the results were combined across all three hurricane events, there was a clear relationship between storm exposure and increased risk of mental health issues.

Mapping flood risks in southeast Florida

To understand how many people could be affected by future flooding, the researchers created maps showing potential inundation in Miami-Dade and Broward counties under different sea level rise and storm surge scenarios.

Even with just 0.5 meters of sea level rise and no storm surge, over 180,000 people would be impacted by flooding. In a more severe but plausible scenario of 1 meter sea level rise combined with storm surge from a Category 4 hurricane, over 4 million people - nearly the entire population of both counties - would be affected.

Projecting mental health impacts

By combining the hurricane exposure data with the flood mapping, the researchers estimated how many people could experience mental health symptoms in severe flooding scenarios:

  • In the worst case scenario (2 meter sea level rise + Category 5 hurricane), an estimated 1.7 million people could have anxiety symptoms, 1.3 million could have depression symptoms, and 2.1 million could have PTSD symptoms
  • In a less extreme but still severe scenario (1 meter sea level rise + Category 3 hurricane), projections showed 1.6 million with anxiety symptoms, 1.3 million with depression symptoms, and 2.0 million with PTSD symptoms

Who is most vulnerable?

The study identified several factors associated with higher risk of mental health symptoms after hurricane exposure:

  • Hispanic ethnicity
  • Black race
  • Female gender
  • Pre-existing mental health conditions

Interestingly, higher income was linked to greater anxiety risk as storm exposure increased. The researchers hypothesize this could be because wealthier individuals may have more property at risk in coastal areas.

Limitations to consider

There are some important limitations to keep in mind with this study:

  • It did not directly measure factors like community resilience or preparedness that could influence mental health outcomes
  • The flooding projections used simplified models that may overestimate inundation
  • Mental health symptoms were self-reported rather than clinically diagnosed
  • The study could not account for how communities might adapt or migrate in response to climate threats

Conclusions

  • Climate change is increasing flood and storm risks in coastal areas, which could substantially impact mental health
  • Higher exposure to tropical cyclones was consistently linked to increased risk of PTSD, anxiety, and depression symptoms
  • Millions of people in southeast Florida could potentially experience mental health issues in severe future flooding scenarios
  • More research is needed on how to protect mental health in vulnerable coastal communities as climate change progresses

While much attention has been paid to the physical and economic threats of climate change, this study highlights the critical need to also prepare for and address the mental health consequences. Coastal communities should incorporate mental health planning and resources into their climate adaptation strategies. On a broader scale, the study underscores the urgency of global efforts to mitigate climate change and reduce the risks to both physical and mental wellbeing.

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