Authors: Samprit Banerjee; Yiyuan Wu; Kathleen S. Bingham; Patricia Marino; Barnett S. Meyers; Benoit H. Mulsant; Nicholas H. Neufeld; Lindsay D. Oliver; Jonathan D. Power; Anthony J. Rothschild; Jo Anne Sirey; Aristotle N. Voineskos; Ellen M. Whyte; George S. Alexopoulos; Alastair J. Flint · Research
Can We Predict Who Will Get Worse After Recovering From Psychotic Depression?
New research reveals key predictors of relapse risk in people who have recovered from severe depression with psychotic features.
Source: Banerjee, S., Wu, Y., Bingham, K. S., Marino, P., Meyers, B. S., Mulsant, B. H., ... & Flint, A. J. (2024). Trajectories of remitted psychotic depression: identification of predictors of worsening by machine learning. Psychological Medicine, 54, 1142-1151. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033291723002945
What you need to know
- About 44% of people who recover from psychotic depression show worsening symptoms over time, even with continued treatment
- The severity of remaining depression symptoms when someone first recovers is the strongest predictor of whether they will get worse later
- Anxiety levels and age of first depression onset also help predict who may be at higher risk for worsening symptoms
Understanding Psychotic Depression and Recovery
Picture reaching a mountaintop after a difficult climb - this is what recovery from psychotic depression can feel like. Psychotic depression is a severe form of depression where someone experiences both depressive symptoms and loss of touch with reality (psychosis). While many people improve with treatment, the journey doesn’t always end with initial recovery. Just as mountain climbers need to be watchful of changing weather conditions even after reaching the peak, people who recover from psychotic depression may face different paths ahead.
Two Different Paths After Recovery
The researchers followed 126 people who had recovered from psychotic depression for 36 weeks. They discovered two distinct groups:
- A “stable” group (56% of participants) who maintained their recovery
- A “worsening” group (44% of participants) who began experiencing more depression symptoms over time
This finding highlights that recovery isn’t always permanent, and some people may need different levels of ongoing support and monitoring.
Predicting Who Might Get Worse
Using advanced computer analysis (machine learning), the researchers identified several key factors that help predict who might be in the worsening group. The most important predictor was how many depression symptoms remained when someone first recovered. Even mild remaining symptoms significantly increased the risk of getting worse later.
Other important predictors included:
- Anxiety levels at the time of recovery
- How young someone was when they first experienced depression
- How many episodes of depression they had experienced before
The Role of Remaining Symptoms
Think of remaining symptoms like small cracks in a foundation - while the building above may look stable, these subtle signs can hint at future problems. People who had more depression symptoms when they first recovered (even if mild enough to be considered “recovered”) were more likely to experience worsening symptoms later.
What This Means for You
If you or someone you care about has recovered from psychotic depression, these findings suggest several important steps:
- Pay attention to any remaining symptoms, even if they seem mild
- Discuss any lingering depression or anxiety symptoms with your healthcare provider
- Consider these symptoms when making decisions about ongoing treatment
- Remember that recovery can be a journey rather than a destination
- Stay engaged with treatment and support systems, especially if you have risk factors for worsening symptoms
Conclusions
- The transition from being ill to being well isn’t always clear-cut - some people may need more intensive or longer treatment even after initial recovery
- Healthcare providers should carefully assess remaining symptoms when someone recovers, as these can help identify who might need closer monitoring or different treatment approaches
- More research is needed to determine the best ways to help people who show signs of risk for worsening symptoms